Interim govt to remain in power for another 1-2 years: IKB

Former army chief General (retd) Iqbal Karim Bhuiyan has predicted that the interim government will remain in power for 1-2 more years.

He made this claim in a post on his Facebook page on Monday.

In the final segment of a seven-part Facebook post, he said the first scenario could see that the current interim government would remain in power for one or two years, followed by the BNP taking office.

“However, if the BNP fails due to orchestrated violence, opposition movements, there’s a chance the 1/11 syndrome will repeat.”

The second scenario is that, he wrote, the interim government will remain in power if it cannot hold an election due to incompetence, deteriorating law and order, or if the government is tasked with reforms under student pressure.

“In that case, weak cabinet members may be replaced, or a national unity government with Dr. Yunus as President may be formed.”

The former army chief said, “The third is, if the current low noise of changing the constitution turns into an uproar, the next five years could see an election, constitution drafting, and referendum.”

He warned, “Whatever happens, the country will face confusion, disturbances, protests, movements, strikes, shutdowns, and violence. The limping economy will exacerbate the situation, especially for the impoverished, and the country will likely fall behind in all social and economic indicators.”

Iqbal Karim wrote, “This analysis is entirely based on my own thoughts, experiences, and direct observations. Its foundation lies in the chain of events that unfolded after August 5 and the multifaceted social and political reactions that followed. The ‘July Charter,’ the constitutional reforms, and the upcoming national election have all taken on new directions—directly and indirectly influenced by the student movement of August 5.”

He added, “My analysis may not align with the positions of political parties or with different ideological perspectives—and that’s natural in a democratic society. Still, I have made every effort to present the issue with professional objectivity and a realistic assessment. There is no influence of personal belief, party loyalty, or political bias here; the analysis rests solely on the logical interpretation of events.”